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24.06.2024 09:00 AM
2024年6月24日 EUR/USD 熱點預測

歐元區商業活動指數預計會小幅上升,然而美國PMI數據則預測會略有下降。但結果完全不一樣。歐元區PMI數據大幅下降。然而,美國PMI報告顯示上升。因此,美元加強了其地位。在現在,市場正在從本月最後一週幾乎沒有的宏觀經濟新聞,轉向新聞背景。此外,這些新聞背景更多是政治方面而非經濟方面。傳統上,這段時間市場的活動相對較少。很有可能,我們會看到某種反彈,之後市場將會略高於目前水平徘徊。

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歐元/美元在上週末以低於 1.0700 水平收盤,這反映了交易者之間的看跌情緒。然而,並沒有重大變化,市場波動率相當平均。

在4小時圖上,RSI技術指標在較低範圍內波動,這也表明了看跌的傾向。

在相同的時間框架內,鱷魚指標的移動平均線仍然朝下。

前景展望

如果歐元進一步疲軟,價格可能會向今年的低點移動。然而,如果匯率在今天結束前高於1.0700水平,那麼在這種情況下,1.0700/1.0760的周期可能會恢復。

就綜合指標分析而言,我們看到在短期內,技術指標指出了反彈或看漲傾向。同時,在日內周期內,指標反映了下跌的周期。

Dean Leo,
Analytical expert of InstaForex
© 2007-2025
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