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18.07.2024 08:56 AM
2024年7月18日歐元/美元熱點預測

儘管美國工業生產數據優異,增長率從0.3%加速至1.6%,美元仍然有所疲軟。更耐人尋味的是,這一情況在工業生產數據公布之前很久就已發生,甚至在歐元區最終通脹數據公布之前。雖然這些數據根本未能產生任何影響,因為它們完全符合預期。顯然,這就是市場為聯邦儲備系統接近降息做好準備的方式。市場堅信這將在九月份發生。然而,今天市場參與者將重點關注歐洲中央銀行的董事會會議。儘管預計歐洲中央銀行的利率將保持不變,但鑑於通脹動態和極度疲弱的宏觀數據,歐洲中央銀行行長Christine Lagarde仍可能暗示進一步降息。因此,表明美元和歐元之間的利率差距可能進一步擴大,對綠背是有利的。結果,美元可能回落到昨天開盤時的水平。

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隨著EUR/USD在1.0900水平上方成交時,長倉量增加,價格向主要心理水平1.1000移動。

在4小時圖上,RSI局部達到了超買區,但未達到任何關鍵水平。由於這個原因,買入量仍有上升的潛力。

在同一張圖中,鱷魚指標的移動平均線向上,這反映了匯率的走勢。

展望

如果該貨幣對進一步上升,匯率可能達到心理水平,但需要注意歐元的超買狀態。因此,該貨幣對可能回調或在心理水平的邊界內停滯不前。在價格定在1.1050水平上方之後,買入量可能會增加。

綜合指標分析顯示,在短期和日內期間,指標提供了上升信號。

Dean Leo,
Analytical expert of InstaForex
© 2007-2025
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