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14.08.2024 08:51 AM
2024年8月14日的歐元/美元熱預測

美國生產者價格通脹率從2.7%急劇下降至2.2%,立即削弱了美元。這樣的數據使市場預期通脹將顯著下降,從而保證聯邦儲備局的降息力度更大。然而,這些預期可能不會實現。生產者價格數據更多是一個前瞻指標,對通脹的影響有延遲。此外,之前的生產者價格數據經過上調修正。因此,今天的通脹數據很有可能顯示消費者價格增長保持不變,這可能導致市場劇烈反轉。

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EUR/USD 貨幣對突破了1.0900/1.0950範圍的上界,脫離了停滯階段,導致歐元的多頭倉位急劇增加,使買家得以完全恢復近期修正性走勢的匯率。

在4小時圖上,RSI 技術工具在多頭動能中進入超買區域,同時價格觸及1.1000水平。

在同一時間框架的鱷魚指標方面,移動平均線向上傾斜,與價格走勢方向一致。

預期和展望

價格與1.1000水平的接觸再次引發多頭倉位的減少,這表明要麼停滯,要麼反轉。值得注意的是,價格重複觸及1.1000水平也可以被視為交易者對上升周期的高度興趣。因此,如果全天價格穩定在該水平之上,可能表明上升趨勢的延續。

綜合指標分析表明,短期和日內周期均顯示上升趨勢。

Dean Leo,
Analytical expert of InstaForex
© 2007-2025
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