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28.10.2024 04:32 PM
歐元/英鎊:分析與預測
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在歐洲央行(ECB)理事皮埃爾·溫什對通脹的評論後,EUR/GBP 貨幣對開始獲得正面的動能。溫什表示,由於能源價格波動導致通脹目標的短暫且輕微偏離是可以接受的。他還提到,目前討論十二月的政策決定還為時過早,並且立即進一步放寬貨幣政策並不是必要的。這些言論被視為支持 EUR/GBP 貨幣對的主要因素。

此外,反彈也可能受到接近 0.8300 水平的技術買盤驅動,自九月底以來,該水準對現貨價格提供了堅實的支撐。然而,由於預期歐洲央行會更為積極地降息,這一增長潛力仍然有限。這一點得到證實是因為歐元區消費者通脹首次下降至 2% 目標以下,自 2021 年六月以來首次低於該目標,且經濟增長乏力。

另一方面,英鎊受到預期英格蘭銀行將比歐元區更緩慢地進行降息的支撐。

由於今天沒有預定的重大經濟數據發布,該貨幣對的波動性和方向仍然有限。交易者應等待德國和歐元區分別在星期三和星期四發布的初步消費者物價指數數據。

從技術角度來看,每日圖表振盪指標顯示向下的動能,因此太早預期 EUR/GBP 貨幣對會從其九月低點反彈。

Irina Yanina,
Analytical expert of InstaForex
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