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31.01.2025 01:48 PM
紐幣/美元。分析與預測
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今天,NZD/USD 吸引了買盤,打破了三日連跌的走勢。然而,其上行潛力似乎有限。

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股市普遍的正面基調阻止了美元從超過一個月低點更強烈的復甦,這支撐了對風險敏感的新西蘭元。然而,當前的反彈缺乏明確的基本面催化劑,可能在持續的看跌情緒中迅速消退。

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美聯儲週三鷹派的按兵不動與新西蘭儲備銀行(RBNZ)的更積極政策寬鬆形成鮮明對比,在開立新的NZD/USD多頭頭寸之前需謹慎。對特朗普政府保護主義貿易關稅的持續擔憂進一步增加了不確定性。

此外,預期特朗普的政策可能推高通脹,導致美國國債收益率小幅反彈,這支撐了美元。因此,NZD/USD 在美國核心PCE物價指數發布前可能面臨阻力。

技術展望

中性振盪器提示在建立新多頭頭寸前需謹慎。此外,14日EMA和9日EMA匯合為一條線,顯示橫盤走勢,強化了近期市場區間震盪的預期。

Irina Yanina,
Analytical expert of InstaForex
© 2007-2025
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