Forex Analysis & Reviews: 28.03.2025 - Markets at a Crossroads...

Live Chat

InstaForex Loprais Team - Official participant of the Dakar rally

This section features the most important information about trading with InstaForex. We provide both analysis from leading experts for experienced traders and articles on trading conditions for beginners. Our services will help increase your profit potential.

Become Trader

Account Opening

See also

Trading Conditions

Forex Analytics

Charts

This section is designed for those who are just starting their trading journey. InstaForex educational and analytical materials will meet your training needs. Our experts' recommendations will make your first steps to trading success simple and clear.

Start as Beginner

How to start trading

Useful information

Training and recordings

InstaForex innovative services are an essential element of productive investment. We strive to provide our clients with advanced technical capabilities and make their trading routine comfortable as we are recognized as the best broker in this regard.

Become Investor

PAMM System

ForexCopy System

Passive investments

OYS account

Partnership with InstaForex is beneficial and top-tier. Join our affiliate programs and enjoy bonuses, partner rewards, and the possibility to travel with the team of the world-renowned brand.

Become Partner

Main Page

Partner Area

Advantages for Affiliates

Registration

This section contains the most lucrative offers from InstaForex. Receive bonuses when topping up an account, compete with other traders, and get real prizes even when trading in a demo account.

All Promo Campaigns

Bonuses

Contests

Events

Holidays with InstaForex are not only pleasant but also useful. We offer a one-stop portal, numerous forums, and corporate blogs, where traders can exchange experiences and become successfully integrated into the Forex community.

Full details

Forums

We are in social networks

Forex humour

Forex Portal

InstaForex is an international brand created in 2007. The company provides services for online FX trading and is recognized as one of the world's leading brokers. We have won the trust of more than 7,000,000 retail traders, who have already appreciated our reliability and focus on innovations.

Learn More

History

Why Choose Us

InstaSport

Regulation

Company News

Awards

InstaForex Stars

InstaForex Offline

Headquarters

Key documents

Social Responsibility

InstaForex - Official partner of Dragon Racing

28.03.2025 11:39 AM

Markets at a Crossroads Ahead of Tariff Announcement by D. Trump (Possible Decline in CFD Contracts on #SPX and #NDX Futures)

Markets are now fully convinced that the U.S. President will follow through on his plans to implement severe customs tariffs aimed at closing the domestic market and, in doing so, stimulating domestic manufacturers.

Understanding this, investors have essentially paused trading, waiting to see what happens on April 2.

When observing the behavior of stock, commodity, debt, and currency markets — along with the crypto market — it becomes clear that activity is waning. Watching Trump and his dynamic personality, anything can be expected on April 2. In the past, he has made dramatic promises only to just as easily backtrack on them.

So, what might happen on Wednesday, April 2?

Two scenarios are likely on the table, based on the personality of the 47th U.S. President.

Scenario one: He theatrically announces the restrictive measures previously outlined. In this case, a localized wave of negativity can be expected, triggering broad market selloffs. The extent of the downturn will depend on Trump's commentary — how long the measures will last, what accompanying conditions they will carry, and so on.

Scenario two: A softer approach, where only partial measures are enacted — for instance, not all promised tariffs are implemented, or some are delayed for certain countries. This scenario would allow loopholes for imports to enter the U.S. The markets may react positively to such news, as the worst-case scenario is already largely priced in.

This is the dilemma investors currently face. Because of the uncertainty factor, market activity has stalled — no one wants to take risks and most prefer to adopt a wait-and-see approach.

What can we expect from the markets today?

Most likely, no significant movements are expected across market segments. Consolidation ahead of April 2 is the most probable scenario. The ICE U.S. Dollar Index will likely hover just above the 104.00 mark. Equities could trade sideways, gradually moving toward the lower ends of their ranges. Gold is expected to find support amid uncertainty and global geopolitical tensions. Crude oil prices will likely remain under pressure, correcting lower from their recent local highs.

Daily Forecasts:

#SPX The CFD contract on the S&P 500 futures is resting on the short-term uptrend support line. A breakout below the 5675.00 level and a sustained move lower could lead to a decline toward 5594.30. The 5664.50 level may serve as an entry point.

#NDX The CFD contract on NASDAQ 100 futures is also positioned at the short-term uptrend support line. A breakout below the 19652.40 level and a consolidation under it may lead to a drop toward 19154.20. The 19621.50 level may serve as an entry point.

You have already liked this post today

*Disclaimer: The market analysis posted here is meant to increase your awareness, but not to give instructions to make a trade.